College Football Week 11
Really solid week 10 with a 2-1 record on sides and totals. The total loss with Utah-Stanford was absurd. If you told me before the game that one team would score 7 on a 54.5 total, I would have made a 10 unit bet on the under.
We also hit a nice moneyline moonshot with Arizona beating a short handed Cal 10-3 at +390. For the weekend the Moneyline plays were +1.9 units.
On the season we are 15-13 (53.5%) and with a solid finish, we can reach our season goal of 55%.
On to week 11…
Georgia at Tennessee +20.5
Love the spot here for the Vols who are the fastest paced team in the country. Why is that important? I want the Georgia defense to face more than 70 plays and see how they handle that volume. The Dawgs only average 62 plays from scrimmage on defense which allows the best defense in the nation to stay fresh during the entire game. Take the home team to keep this game inside the number.
Notre Dame at Virginia +5.5
This one goes against the grain and the public sentiment for the Irish. The line looks fishy and a bit light. Virginia has a very explosive offense, but their defense is below average. So why pick the Hoos? Virginia is coming off a bye week so they should be healthy and this level of opponent will have them very focused. I like playing against Notre Dame on the road since they are a vastly different team away from South Bend. Take Virginia in a field goal game down to the wire.
NC State at Wake Forest Total 66.5 Under
Everyone saw Wake and UNC play a 58-55 game so the likelihood of bettors marching to the window to take the under here is small. I like being on the other side of the public play. The Wolfpack defense is very solid and they like to really grind out the running game on offense. Wake had their playoff dreams crushed last week so I am expecting a Demon Deacon team that could be a little flat on Saturday.
2021 College Football Power Ratings
Updated 11.8.2021
1 Georgia 99.7
2 Alabama 98.6
3 Ohio State 91.0
4 Oklahoma 90.4
5 Oregon 88.0
6 Cincinnati 87.3
7 Notre Dame 86.1
8 Michigan 85.9
9 Texas A&M 85.3
10 Ole Miss 84.9
11 Oklahoma State 84.7
12 Penn State 84.5
13 Wisconsin 83.9
14 Iowa State 83.7
15 Auburn 83.5
16 Pitt 83.4
17 Iowa 82.9
18 Utah 82.7
19 NC State 82.5
20 Clemson 82.0
21 Wake Forest 81.8
22 Arizona State 81.6
23 Michigan State 81.4
24 Boise State 81.3
25 LSU 81.0
26 Baylor 80.8
27 Tennessee 80.6
28 Arkansas 80.3
29 UCLA 80.1
30 Florida 79.8
31 Kentucky 79.7
32 App. State 79.5
33 Coastal Carolina 79.0
34 BYU 78.7
35 Purdue 78.5
36 North Carolina 78.4
37 West Virginia 78.1
38 Texas 77.8
39 Mississippi State 77.5
40 Houston 77.1
41 Louisiana 77.0
42 Virginia 76.9
43 Kansas State 76.3
44 San Diego State 76.1
45 Nevada 75.7
46 SMU 74.9
47 Miami FL 74.3
48 Fresno State 74.1
49 Oregon State 74.0
50 UTSA 73.8
51 TCU 73.6
52 Washington State 73.2
53 Nebraska 73.0
54 UCF 72.7
55 Liberty 72.4
56 Louisville 72.0
57 USC 71.9
58 Washington 71.1
59 Air Force 71.0
60 Minnesota 70.8
61 Indiana 70.4
62 Maryland 70.3
63 Syracuse 70.1
64 Western Michigan 70.0
65 Marshall 69.9
66 Army 69.7
67 UAB 69.6
68 Florida State 69.5
69 Virginia Tech 69.4
70 Stanford 69.2
71 Memphis 69.0
72 Rutgers 68.7
73 California 68.6
74 Boston College 68.5
75 Texas Tech 68.3
76 Utah State 68.2
77 South Carolina 68.1
78 Colorado 68.0
79 Toledo 67.9
80 Illinois 67.7
81 Western Kentucky 67.6
82 Missouri 67.0
83 East Carolina 66.8
84 Eastern Michigan 66.7
85 Ball State 66.4
86 Georgia Tech 66.1
87 Central Michigan 66.0
88 UTEP 65.5
89 Northwestern 65.3
90 FAU 64.9
91 Tulsa 64.8
92 Wyoming 64.7
93 Buffalo 64.3
94 Northern Illinois 63.9
95 Colorado State 63.8
96 Kent State 63.0
97 Tulane 62.9
98 San Jose State 62.3
99 Hawaii 62.0
100 Duke 61.9
101 Miami Ohio 61.7
102 Navy 61.1
103 Louisiana Tech 61.0
104 Louisiana Monroe 60.9
105 Troy 60.8
106 South Alabama 60.4
107 Vanderbilt 60.0
108 Bowling Green 59.8
109 Arizona 59.7
110 Charlotte 59.5
111 Georgia State 59.0
112 Georgia Southern 58.5
113 Arkansas State 58.4
114 Rice 57.2
115 North Texas 57.1
116 Kansas 56.4
117 Middle Tennessee 56.0
118 Ohio 55.8
119 New Mexico 54.1
120 ODU 54.0
121 Southern Miss. 53.8
122 Temple 52.3
123 UNLV 52.2
124 FIU 52.0
125 South Florida 47.1
126 Texas State 45.5
127 Akron 43.5
128 New Mexico State 43.0
129 UConn 42.3
130 UMass 42.2